Tuesday 15th August

Back to the tipping after the Billericay blog! Saturday went very well with the 2nd big price Nap of the week going in thanks to Frome. Sadly Macclesfield let me down for a treble of winners. Tonight is going to be pretty busy as I have 7 tips. I very rarely put up that many as I think it is too many, but on this occasion I think all are bets worth having.

Solihull v Barrow

Solihull have got off to a terrible start to the new season. They were well outclassed at Leyton Orient last Tuesday night when losing 3-1 and then it got even worse at Boreham Wood on Saturday as they lost 4-1. They have taken the gamble of mainly recruiting from lower down the pyramid and so far it isn’t working as they are struggling to get up to speed. Now this is their first home game of the season so that might help matters, but I have to back Barrow here given Solihull’s first two efforts of the season. I put up Barrow last Tuesday when they were held to a disappointing 0-0 draw with Halifax, but they followed that up with a good 3-0 win over Woking on Saturday. I think they should be odds on for this so am happy to take the 11/10 with Stan James.

Sutton v Macclesfield

Sutton had a great result at the weekend when they won 1-0 at Tranmere. That could spell a change to their away form this season, but having said that they won at Lincoln last August and then it was months before they added to that away victory. Tranmere will obviously be hoping that is a good omen! Back to Sutton and they look set to be as strong at home as they were last season based on their dominant win at Leyton Orient on the first day of the season. Macclesfield are unbeaten having won once and drawn twice, but they have been pretty unconvincing so  far and I think Sutton will have too much for them on their 3G pitch. Skybet’s 11/10 is too big for me.

Woking v Eastleigh

Woking did manage to win their first game of the season when impressing against Gateshead, but things have not gone so well in their two away games since conceding 3 at Tranmere and Barrow. The visit of Eastleigh will be another stiff test for them and my concerns that I had pre-season about Woking remain, that is that they look possible relegation candidates this season. Eastleigh on the other-hand will be hoping to be in the play-of picture and after playing out a dull 0-0 with Bromley first up they beat Sutton last Tuesday and then got a good point against Dagenham on Saturday. I’m surprised Eastleigh are as big as 11/8 (various) and that is well worth taking.

Tamworth v Boston

Down into the National League North now and Tamworth have had a very mixed start to the season. They beat Leamington 1-0 last Tuesday, but either side of that they lost to Bradford and Blyth, who put 4 past them on Saturday. Whilst Tamworth were conceding 4, Boston weren’t doing an awful lot as their game against Spennymoor got called off as Spennymoor weren’t able to reach the ground in time. At this stage of the season when the games are coming thick and fast I do think that could be an advantage for Boston. They had a nightmare start to the season as Southport beat them 4-0, but they bounced back beating Alfreton 3-1 last Tuesday. If they can take that performance into this then they will have a much better chance than the odds of 23/10 (Bet 365) suggest.

Truro City v Bath City

Truro have made a cracking start to the season having won twice and then being involved in a 2-2 draw at Concord on Saturday. That doesn’t tell the whole story though as Truro scored twice in the last 6 minutes before Concord equalised in the last minute. They are certainly looking a lot stronger than last season and they host a Bath side who have lost all 3 matches so far. They did take the lead against Chelmsford on Saturday, but they conceded twice in the 2nd half to make it 3 defeats on the bounce. I just can’t understand how Bath are favourites for this given both teams respective results so far this term and the fact a trip to Truro on a Tuesday night is hardly the easiest one of the season. The home side should be favourites so the 15/8 with Marathona and Bet365 makes a lot of appeal.

Whitby Town v Stalybridge Celtic

Celtic were one of my ante-post picks for the Evo-Stik Northern Premier title this season and they got off to a great start when beating Nantwich 1-0 on Saturday. The match report suggests it should have been more than the 1 as well which bodes well. Their hosts tonight started their season with a 1-0 defeat to Barwell. I thought the bookies underrated Celtic before the season started and I think that is also borne out in the prices for this game and BetVictor’s 19/10 is too big.

Lowestoft v Billericay

My post on Sunday about Billericay and their owner/manager proved pretty popular and has had more views than any of my tipping pieces so far! Despite my thoughts on what is going on there I have to bet with my head and although Tamplin is no manager they clearly should be winning this game. I thought that an odds against price about them would be hardly seen all season, so it was with great surprise to see that they are odds against for this game tonight. At the end of the day that price makes no sense given the respective sides and as much as it would be funny if they failed to win again, I can’t let them go unbacked at odds against. They are 6/5 with Marathon to beat the home side who lost at Leatherhead on Saturday.

Barrow 1.5pts

Sutton 2pts

Eastleigh 1pt

Boston 1pt

Truro 1.5pts

Stalybridge Celtic 1pt

Billericay 2.5pts

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