Tuesday was a solid night with Wrexham landing the first big price Nap of the season. The 11/4 was just a crazy price and it was just a shame that it came so early in the season as there always has to be caution in the staking plan at this time of year. The Step 3 leagues get underway tomorrow and if you haven’t seen my ante-post thoughts on them then they are on here for you to look at. There isn’t a great deal I fancy tomorrow actually with just the 3 bets.
Macclesfield v Bromley
It looks a very tough set of fixtures in the National League this weekend, with quite a few odds on shots and then some tough matches to call. I don’t think there is huge value in the home side here, but there is enough at Marathon’s 11/10 for me to want to get involved. Macclesfield beat Wrexham on the first day of the season although as I wrote on Tuesday night a draw was probably the fairer result. They then drew against Hartlepool on Tuesday night. That was a couple of tough games to get the season underway so I am sure they will be happy to have picked up 4 points. This game looks to have a good chance for them to pick up another 3 points over another side who have 4 points. Bromley played in a dull 0-0 draw on Saturday with Eastleigh and they didn’t even manage a shot on target. They then got a 2-1 victory at Dover on Tuesday. Now on paper that looks like a really good result, but I don’t think it told the whole story. By all accounts Dover absolutely battered them and were very unlucky to have lost the game. With Macclesfield looking in solid shape it would be surprising if Bromley were to have as much good fortune for a 2nd game running and the home side are worth backing.
Bath v Chelmsford
Bath have a had a surprisingly poor start to the season. I put them up last week as they looked to be in a much stronger position than Bognor. To be fair they did fight back to 2-2 having been 2 nil down, but they then lost 3-2. Tuesday night was even worse as they lost to another promoted club in Chippenham. Their local rivals soundly beat them 5-2 as well, so it hasn’t been an ideal start to the season to say the least. They should come good eventually, but the face title favourites Chelmsford who have won both games so far. They were pretty comfortable last Saturday when beating Gloucester 2-0 and then edged past Welling 1-0 in midweek. There is a danger Bath could have had a wake up call after their shocking effort on Tuesday, but all things being equal Chelmsford are the more likely to pick up the 3 points. Marathon are 27/20 and that looks on the right side of value.
Basingstoke v Frome Town
I’m surprised Basingstoke are as short as they are for their first game of the season. Last season they relied on youth and it didn’t really work out and this season it will be the same although mainly because the club just don’t have any money. There are various off the field issues in the background which mean they have little money to spend and they have to hope the youngsters they have bought in can do the business. They do have the right man in charge in Terry Brown, but I certainly struggle to see them any higher than mid-table. Frome look pretty solid. They finished 8th in the table last season and have kept the vast majority of last terms squad. 12/5 (Betway) looks a big price and because they look the best value of the 3 bets this week I make them the Naps.
Frome Town 2pts